SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 14.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
14.12% ( 0) | 19.61% ( -0.01) | 66.27% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.88% ( 0.07) | 43.11% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.48% ( 0.07) | 65.52% ( -0.06) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.49% ( 0.04) | 42.51% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.13% ( 0.04) | 78.87% ( -0.04) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( 0.03) | 12.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.27% ( 0.05) | 37.73% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 1-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.98% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 14.12% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 19.61% | 0-2 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.9% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.25% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.79% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 66.26% |
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