SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Guangzhou had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Guangzhou win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guangzhou | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
27.61% ( 0.59) | 25.14% ( 0.09) | 47.25% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.61% ( 0.02) | 49.38% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( 0.02) | 71.43% ( -0.02) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( 0.47) | 32.14% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% ( 0.53) | 68.63% ( -0.53) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( -0.29) | 20.93% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.34% ( -0.45) | 53.66% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guangzhou | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.66% Total : 27.61% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 47.25% |
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