SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 65.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Guangzhou |
65.89% ( 0.01) | 20.77% ( -0) | 13.35% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.78% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0) | 49.71% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( -0) | 71.72% ( 0) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.73% ( 0) | 14.27% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.94% ( 0.01) | 42.06% ( -0) |
| Guangzhou Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.23% ( -0.01) | 47.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.94% ( -0.01) | 83.06% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Guangzhou |
| 1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 12.92% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 8.39% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.2% 4-0 @ 4.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.31% Total : 65.88% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.77% | 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.83% Total : 13.35% |
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