SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 (11.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
36.06% ( 0.2) | 28.05% ( -0.11) | 35.89% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.56% ( 0.42) | 58.44% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.97% ( 0.33) | 79.04% ( -0.33) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( 0.34) | 30.93% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% ( 0.39) | 67.22% ( -0.39) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( 0.16) | 31.03% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% ( 0.19) | 67.34% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.88% |
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