SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
64.55% ( -1.35) | 19.48% ( 0.54) | 15.97% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.34% ( -0.88) | 38.66% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.04% ( -0.94) | 60.96% ( 0.94) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.7% ( -0.61) | 11.29% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.07% ( -1.33) | 35.92% ( 1.33) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( 0.48) | 37.26% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( 0.47) | 74.04% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.12)Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.54% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.21% Total : 15.97% |
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