SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Zhejiang Professional win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
59.95% ( -0.02) | 21.36% ( 0.06) | 18.69% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.52% ( -0.32) | 42.49% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.11% ( -0.32) | 64.89% ( 0.33) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.23% ( -0.11) | 13.78% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.92% ( -0.22) | 41.08% ( 0.23) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( -0.22) | 36.41% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% ( -0.23) | 73.2% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 9.96% 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 18.69% |
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