SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
33.27% ( -0.71) | 23.97% ( 0.23) | 42.75% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 60.75% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( -1.32) | 41.47% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( -1.35) | 63.87% ( 1.35) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -1.02) | 24.4% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( -1.47) | 58.82% ( 1.46) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( -0.34) | 19.64% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% ( -0.56) | 51.6% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.27% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.15% Total : 42.75% |
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