SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Henan had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Henan win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Henan |
39.31% ( -0.2) | 25.64% ( -0.01) | 35.05% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( 0.06) | 48.7% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( 0.05) | 70.81% ( -0.05) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% ( -0.08) | 24.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.16% ( -0.11) | 58.84% ( 0.11) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( 0.15) | 26.79% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( 0.2) | 62.08% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Henan |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.05% |
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