SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Henan had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Henan win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zhejiang Professional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Henan |
50.11% ( 0.1) | 22.64% ( -0.02) | 27.25% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 61.87% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% ( 0.02) | 38.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( 0.02) | 60.71% ( -0.02) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( 0.04) | 15.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( 0.08) | 44.55% ( -0.08) |
| Henan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( -0.05) | 26.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% ( -0.06) | 61.98% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Henan |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.82% Total : 50.11% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.25% |
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