SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
37.68% ( -0.06) | 24.4% ( 0.13) | 37.92% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.97% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% ( -0.62) | 42.82% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.78% ( -0.62) | 65.22% ( 0.62) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0.31) | 22.62% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.76% ( -0.46) | 56.24% ( 0.45) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.5% ( -0.31) | 22.5% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.94% ( -0.47) | 56.06% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zhejiang Professional | Draw | Beijing Guoan |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.68% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.92% |
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