SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.16%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
43.64% ( -0.05) | 22.56% ( 0.08) | 33.79% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.24% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.64% ( -0.41) | 34.36% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.73% ( -0.46) | 56.27% ( 0.46) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.61% ( -0.18) | 16.39% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.97% ( -0.33) | 46.03% ( 0.33) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0.21) | 20.77% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.58% ( -0.32) | 53.41% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.87% Total : 33.79% |
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