SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
51.88% ( -0.66) | 20.61% ( -0.05) | 27.51% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 69.81% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.82% ( 0.84) | 28.18% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.04% ( 1.03) | 48.96% ( -1.03) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.59% ( 0.1) | 11.41% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.82% ( 0.22) | 36.18% ( -0.22) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0.88) | 21.19% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( 1.34) | 54.08% ( -1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.24)1-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.88% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.61% | 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)3-4 @ 1% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 27.51% |
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