SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 76.8%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 8.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.28%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Hebei win it was 1-0 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cangzhou Mighty Lions would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hebei | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
8.54% ( 0.04) | 14.66% ( -0.08) | 76.8% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.58% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.53% ( 0.54) | 35.46% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.49% ( 0.6) | 57.5% ( -0.6) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.57% ( 0.48) | 47.43% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.19% ( 0.36) | 82.81% ( -0.36) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.41% ( 0.13) | 7.59% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.83% ( 0.34) | 27.17% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hebei | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.26% Total : 8.54% | 1-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.8% Total : 14.66% | 0-2 @ 11.96% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 10.28% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.19)1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 6.63% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.94% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.05)0-6 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 76.79% |
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