SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Dalian Pro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 10 | -11 | 6 |
| 13 | Hebei | 10 | -17 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 78.47%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 7.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.54%) and 1-0 (11.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Hebei |
78.47% ( -1.17) | 14.41% ( 0.86) | 7.12% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 42.2% ( -1.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( -3.02) | 39.83% ( 3.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( -3.2) | 62.18% ( 3.2) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.77% ( -0.93) | 8.23% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.22% ( -2.39) | 28.78% ( 2.39) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.99% ( -1.26) | 54.01% ( 1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.72% ( -0.79) | 87.28% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Hebei |
| 2-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.67) 3-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 11.1% ( 1.03)2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.38)5-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.35)5-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.16)6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.22)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.17)6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.89% Total : 78.47% | 1-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.5% Total : 14.41% | 0-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.27% Total : 7.12% |
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