Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
4 | Beijing Guoan | 10 | 4 | 16 |
5 | Shanghai Port | 9 | 2 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Guangzhou | 10 | -11 | 6 |
13 | Hebei | 10 | -17 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 80.36%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 6.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
Result | ||
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Hebei |
80.36% ( -0.25) | 13.23% ( 0.15) | 6.41% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 42.73% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.09% ( -0.34) | 36.91% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.91% ( -0.37) | 59.09% ( 0.37) |
Beijing Guoan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.83% ( -0.12) | 7.17% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.94% ( -0.33) | 26.06% ( 0.33) |
Hebei Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.03% ( 0.04) | 53.96% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.74% ( 0.03) | 87.25% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Beijing Guoan | Draw | Hebei |
2-0 @ 13.43% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.53% Total : 80.35% | 1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 13.23% | 0-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.09% Total : 6.41% |
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