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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 18
Sep 14, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
3 - 1
Hebei

Xizhe (29' pen.), Ziming (36'), Zhang (50')
Tian (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Chen (34')
Luan (26'), Zhang (28'), Tianyuan (37')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Hebei.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-2 Zhejiang
Tuesday, September 6 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 6-0 Hebei
Saturday, September 10 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 80.36%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 6.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawHebei
80.36% (-0.246 -0.25) 13.23% (0.152 0.15) 6.41% (0.094 0.09)
Both teams to score 42.73% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.09% (-0.34 -0.34)36.91% (0.34099999999999 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.91% (-0.37 -0.37)59.09% (0.372 0.37)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.83% (-0.124 -0.12)7.17% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.94% (-0.327 -0.33)26.06% (0.328 0.33)
Hebei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.03% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.74% (0.025 0.03)87.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 80.35%
    Hebei 6.41%
    Draw 13.23%
Beijing GuoanDrawHebei
2-0 @ 13.43% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 11.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 7.78% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.8% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-0 @ 4.1% (-0.067 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.53% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 1.8% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 80.35%
1-1 @ 6.29% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.56% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 13.23%
0-1 @ 2.39% (0.042 0.04)
1-2 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 6.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-2 Zhejiang
Tuesday, September 6 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 0-2 Sh. Shenhua
Friday, August 26 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 1-0 Guangzhou City
Monday, August 22 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Wuhan 1-4 Beijing Guoan
Wednesday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Wuhan TT 5-1 Beijing Guoan
Friday, August 12 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 3-0 Beijing Guoan
Sunday, August 7 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Meizhou Hakka 6-0 Hebei
Saturday, September 10 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Zhejiang 3-0 Hebei
Sunday, August 28 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Hebei 1-7 Changchun
Friday, August 19 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Hebei 0-7 Shandong
Monday, August 15 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Hebei 3-4 Tianjin Jinmen
Thursday, August 11 at 1pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Hebei 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao
Friday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Chinese Super League


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