SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Dalian Pro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 10 | -11 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Dalian Pro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
19.95% ( -0.15) | 24.86% ( 0.09) | 55.2% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.19% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.95% ( -0.47) | 55.05% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.69% ( -0.39) | 76.31% ( 0.39) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.67% ( -0.43) | 42.33% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.28% ( -0.37) | 78.72% ( 0.38) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( -0.16) | 19.9% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.97% ( -0.26) | 52.03% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.95% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 13.6% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 10.97% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.19% |
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