SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cangzhou Mighty Lions would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
37.57% ( 0.03) | 26.63% ( -0.01) | 35.79% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( 0.03) | 52.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% ( 0.03) | 74.49% ( -0.03) |
| Wuhan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( 0.03) | 27.3% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( 0.04) | 62.74% ( -0.04) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% | 28.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.91% ( 0) | 64.09% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.57% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.79% |
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