SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Dalian Pro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Dalian Pro | 10 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Cangzhou Mighty Lions | 9 | -6 | 7 |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 10 | -11 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
42.75% ( -0.03) | 27.71% ( -0.04) | 29.54% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.62% ( 0.16) | 58.38% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.01% ( 0.12) | 78.99% ( -0.12) |
| Dalian Pro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( 0.06) | 27.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.62% ( 0.07) | 62.39% ( -0.07) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.58% ( 0.14) | 35.42% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.82% ( 0.15) | 72.18% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dalian Pro | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 1-0 @ 12.52% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 29.54% |
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