SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shandong Taishan | 10 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 9 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Shanghai Shenhua | 9 | 7 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Wuhan | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Changchun Yatai | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 9 | 0 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
35.86% ( 0.81) | 27.49% ( -0.06) | 36.65% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 49.36% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% ( 0.28) | 56.32% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% ( 0.22) | 77.35% ( -0.23) |
| Henan Songshan Longmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( 0.65) | 29.99% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( 0.77) | 66.11% ( -0.77) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( -0.31) | 29.5% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( -0.39) | 65.51% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Henan Songshan Longmen | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.85% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.65% |
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