Chinese Super League | Gameweek 9

Jul 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium

Henan
2 - 1
Guangzhou City

Zichang (56', 82')
Mawlanyaz (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Chun Lok (32')
Gong (45'), Zhizhao (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Henan Songshan Longmen and Guangzhou City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Henan Songshan Longmen 3-1 Guangzhou City

Guangzhou City have failed to get going so far and it is hard to see them coming away with anything from this one. We expect Henan to cruise to all three points in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.

Result
Henan Songshan Longmen	Draw	Guangzhou City
60.92% ( -0.06)	23.03% ( -0.02)	16.05% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 44.54% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.43% (

0.2)

53.57% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.92% (

0.17)

75.08% (

-0.17)

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

0.05)

17.21% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.5% (

0.09)

47.5% (

-0.09)

Guangzhou City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.8% (

0.23)

46.19% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.13% (

0.17)

81.87% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Henan Songshan Longmen 60.91%

Guangzhou City 16.05%

Draw 23.03%

Henan Songshan Longmen	Draw	Guangzhou City
1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 60.91%	1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 16.05%