SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shanghai Port |
19.75% ( -0.17) | 23.55% ( -0.03) | 56.69% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.7% ( -0.12) | 50.3% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.75% ( -0.1) | 72.24% ( 0.11) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% ( -0.26) | 39.8% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.53% ( -0.24) | 76.46% ( 0.24) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( 0.03) | 17.54% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.93% ( 0.05) | 48.07% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.33% Total : 19.75% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.14% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.65% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.46% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.69% |
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