SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
36.31% ( -0.24) | 26.04% ( -0) | 37.64% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( -0.01) | 50.37% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( -0) | 72.31% ( -0) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0.14) | 26.84% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( -0.19) | 62.14% ( 0.18) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0.13) | 26.08% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% ( 0.18) | 61.14% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 36.31% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.64% |
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