SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Meizhou Hakka win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
27.1% ( -0.07) | 24.36% ( -0.05) | 48.54% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% ( 0.15) | 46.4% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.32% ( 0.14) | 68.68% ( -0.14) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% ( 0.03) | 30.97% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.73% ( 0.03) | 67.27% ( -0.03) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( 0.11) | 19.19% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.14% ( 0.18) | 50.86% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 27.1% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.54% |
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