SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
35.64% ( -0.25) | 26.86% ( 0.04) | 37.5% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( -0.17) | 53.8% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( -0.14) | 75.27% ( 0.14) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( -0.24) | 28.89% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( -0.29) | 64.76% ( 0.28) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( 0.04) | 27.78% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( 0.06) | 63.36% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.64% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.49% |
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