SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
37.31% ( 0.24) | 25.71% ( 0.11) | 36.98% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.48) | 48.88% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( -0.43) | 70.97% ( 0.43) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( -0.09) | 25.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.54% ( -0.12) | 60.46% ( 0.12) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.24% ( -0.41) | 25.76% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.3% ( -0.56) | 60.7% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.31% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.98% |
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