SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Jonoon win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Jonoon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Nantong Zhiyun win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Jonoon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
41.29% ( -0.34) | 25.87% ( 0.12) | 32.83% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( -0.46) | 50.16% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( -0.41) | 72.13% ( 0.41) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( -0.38) | 24.05% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.67% ( -0.53) | 58.32% ( 0.53) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( -0.09) | 28.87% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( -0.11) | 64.74% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.29% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.83% |
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