SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 65.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shanghai Port |
14.75% ( -0.02) | 20.14% ( -0.02) | 65.11% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.84% ( 0.05) | 44.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.46% ( 0.04) | 66.54% ( -0.04) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.73% | 42.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.33% | 78.67% ( -0) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( 0.02) | 12.78% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.94% ( 0.05) | 39.06% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.12% ( -0)2-0 @ 2% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.22% 3-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 14.75% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.14% | 0-2 @ 11.43% 0-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.66% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 65.11% |
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