SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
45.73% ( 0.08) | 24.74% ( 0.02) | 29.54% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( -0.12) | 46.54% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( -0.12) | 68.81% ( 0.12) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -0.01) | 20.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( -0.03) | 52.87% ( 0.03) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -0.13) | 29.27% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.78% ( -0.16) | 65.23% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Meizhou Hakka |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.73% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.54% |
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