SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Hainiu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
54.06% ( 0.22) | 22.32% ( -0.01) | 23.62% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.64% ( -0.15) | 40.36% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.27% ( -0.16) | 62.73% ( 0.16) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( 0.02) | 14.92% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.68% ( 0.03) | 43.32% ( -0.03) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( -0.25) | 30.52% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.26% ( -0.3) | 66.74% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 54.06% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 23.62% |
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