Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qingdao Hainiu would win this match.
0.22) 
-0.02) 
