SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Qingdao Hainiu win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
69.34% ( -0.14) | 17.65% ( 0.08) | 13% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.44% ( -0.26) | 36.56% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.29% ( -0.29) | 58.71% ( 0.28) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.48% ( -0.1) | 9.52% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.1% ( -0.24) | 31.9% ( 0.23) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.03% ( -0.09) | 39.96% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.38% ( -0.08) | 76.62% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Qingdao Hainiu |
| 2-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.27% Total : 69.34% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.65% | 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 13% |
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