SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
44.48% ( -0.4) | 25.19% ( -0.04) | 30.33% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.88% ( 0.37) | 48.12% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.72% ( 0.34) | 70.28% ( -0.33) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( -0.03) | 21.64% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.24% ( -0.04) | 54.76% ( 0.04) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.49) | 29.52% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.46% ( 0.59) | 65.53% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.33% |
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