SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
30.53% ( -0.29) | 24.82% ( 0.08) | 44.65% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.5) | 46.43% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.47) | 68.71% ( 0.47) |
| Qingdao Hainiu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( -0.44) | 28.54% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.68% ( -0.56) | 64.32% ( 0.56) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( -0.11) | 20.85% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.46% ( -0.18) | 53.54% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Hainiu | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 30.53% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.65% |
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