Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qingdao Hainiu win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qingdao Hainiu win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Qingdao Hainiu in this match.
-0.21) 
0.13) 
