SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
63.77% ( -0.49) | 19.93% ( 0.22) | 16.3% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( -0.47) | 40.1% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.53% ( -0.48) | 62.46% ( 0.48) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.07% ( -0.27) | 11.92% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.71% ( -0.58) | 37.28% ( 0.58) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.26% ( 0.06) | 37.74% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.48% ( 0.06) | 74.52% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.83% Total : 63.77% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.93% | 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 16.3% |
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