SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
51.84% ( 0.42) | 26.29% ( -0.08) | 21.87% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 44.81% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.8% ( -0.01) | 58.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% ( -0.01) | 78.85% ( 0.01) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.42% ( 0.18) | 22.58% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.82% ( 0.26) | 56.18% ( -0.26) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.88% ( -0.35) | 42.12% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.46% ( -0.3) | 78.54% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 14.15% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 51.84% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.11% Total : 21.87% |
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