Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would win this match.
Result | ||
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Wuhan |
40.52% ( -0.17) | 27.75% ( 0.04) | 31.73% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 47.87% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.15% ( -0.12) | 57.85% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.43% ( -0.1) | 78.57% ( 0.1) |
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% ( -0.16) | 27.99% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% ( -0.2) | 63.63% ( 0.2) |
Wuhan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.48% ( 0.03) | 33.52% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.84% ( 0.03) | 70.16% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Wuhan |
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 40.52% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.72% |
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