SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 57.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 19.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shenzhen | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
19.89% ( -0.47) | 22.66% ( -0.26) | 57.45% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( 0.5) | 46.45% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( 0.47) | 68.73% ( -0.47) |
| Shenzhen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( -0.2) | 37.44% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.78% ( -0.2) | 74.22% ( 0.19) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( 0.43) | 15.91% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.85% ( 0.77) | 45.15% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shenzhen | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.61% Total : 19.89% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.06% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.79% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.44% |
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