SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Shanghai Port had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Shanghai Port win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
37.15% ( 0.04) | 27.69% ( 0.04) | 35.15% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.7% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.88% ( -0.14) | 57.12% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.01% ( -0.11) | 77.99% ( 0.12) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -0.04) | 29.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -0.05) | 65.62% ( 0.06) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.12) | 30.84% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.89% ( -0.14) | 67.11% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Shanghai Port |
| 1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.15% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.15% |
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