SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
20.98% ( 0.03) | 25.35% ( 0.03) | 53.67% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.27% ( -0.07) | 55.73% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.13% ( -0.05) | 76.87% ( 0.05) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.39% ( -0.01) | 41.61% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.91% ( -0.01) | 78.09% ( 0.01) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( -0.05) | 20.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.56% ( -0.07) | 53.44% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.53% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.15% Total : 20.98% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 13.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 53.66% |
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