SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Dalian Pro | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Shanghai Port | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Shenzhen | 8 | -2 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Guangzhou | 7 | -10 | 3 |
| 13 | Hebei | 7 | -14 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 70.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Hebei had a probability of 10%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.87%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Hebei win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Hebei |
70.67% ( -0.42) | 19.33% ( 0.18) | 10% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 38.87% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.05) | 51.83% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.41% ( -0.04) | 73.59% ( 0.05) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( -0.14) | 13.48% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.5% ( -0.28) | 40.5% ( 0.28) |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.93% ( 0.48) | 55.07% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.08% ( 0.28) | 87.92% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Hebei |
| 2-0 @ 14.9% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 14.87% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 70.66% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.33% | 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.6% Total : 10% |
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