SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cangzhou Mighty Lions would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
37.35% ( -0.3) | 26.13% ( 0.11) | 36.52% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 53.8% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% ( -0.48) | 50.72% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( -0.42) | 72.62% ( 0.42) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( -0.39) | 26.41% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.42% ( -0.52) | 61.58% ( 0.51) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( -0.12) | 26.89% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( -0.16) | 62.2% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.52% |
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