SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 68.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 13.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
68.42% ( 2.03) | 18.17% ( -0.94) | 13.41% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.91% ( 1.89) | 38.08% ( -1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.64% ( 1.98) | 60.35% ( -1.98) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.85% ( 1.04) | 10.15% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.64% ( 2.33) | 33.36% ( -2.33) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.64% ( -0.36) | 40.36% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.02% ( -0.33) | 76.98% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.43)3-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.39)4-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.26)5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 4.72% Total : 68.41% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.41% |
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