SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sichuan Jiuniu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
48.12% ( -0.22) | 24.5% ( 0.02) | 27.38% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.18% ( 0.05) | 46.82% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( 0.05) | 69.08% ( -0.05) |
| Sichuan Jiuniu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( -0.07) | 19.53% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.58% ( -0.11) | 51.42% ( 0.11) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( 0.18) | 30.98% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( 0.21) | 67.29% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sichuan Jiuniu | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 48.12% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 27.38% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
