SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 72.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
72.24% ( -0.06) | 15.65% ( 0.03) | 12.1% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.52% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.19% ( -0.06) | 28.8% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.26% ( -0.08) | 49.73% ( 0.07) |
| Shanghai Port Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.03% ( -0.03) | 6.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.07) | 25.53% ( 0.06) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( -0.01) | 36.02% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.2% ( -0.01) | 72.8% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Port | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 8.07% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.91% ( -0)1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 72.25% | 1-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.65% | 1-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.1% |
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