SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.42%) and 3-1 (4.92%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
40.43% ( -0.04) | 22.28% ( -0) | 37.29% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 68.16% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.82% ( 0.02) | 32.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.22% ( 0.01) | 53.77% ( -0.01) |
| Changchun Yatai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( -0.01) | 16.77% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.29% ( -0.02) | 46.71% ( 0.02) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( 0.03) | 18.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.96% ( 0.04) | 49.04% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.45% Total : 40.43% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.07% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.03% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 37.29% |
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