Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 5.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 4-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.15%), while for a Meizhou Hakka win it was 1-2 (1.73%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
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