SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
27.73% ( -1.69) | 24.73% ( -0.72) | 47.55% ( 2.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.06% ( 1.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% ( 2.11) | 47.58% ( -2.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( 1.92) | 69.78% ( -1.92) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( -0.16) | 31.12% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( -0.18) | 67.44% ( 0.18) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( 1.93) | 20.07% ( -1.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.7% ( 3.01) | 52.3% ( -3.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.7) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.73% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.57)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.41)0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.27)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.54% |
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