SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
54.68% ( -0.03) | 21.66% ( 0) | 23.66% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.83% ( 0.01) | 37.17% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.63% ( 0.01) | 59.37% ( -0) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( -0.01) | 13.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.2% ( -0.02) | 40.8% ( 0.02) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.03) | 28.73% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( 0.03) | 64.56% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 2% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.92% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.66% | 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 23.66% |
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