Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.